Morning 3-11 Bracketology Commentary

Current last 4 in:

Oral Roberts (last in)
Mississippi State
Seton Hall
California

Prior 4 in:
Colorado State
Iona
Iowa State
BYU (Safest)

First 4 out:
Ole Miss (first out)
Tennessee
Marshall
Oregon

Next 4 out:
Texas
St Joe's
Massachusetts
Northwestern (longest shot)



1 seeds:

Syracuse
Kentucky
Kansas
Duke (this won't hold - see below)

Implications of today's games:

ACC: A UNC win would bump them from to the 1 line, taking Duke's spot.
A loss would keep them at a #2 seed.
A Florida State win would push them to a 6 from an 8. A loss would keep them at an #8

SEC: The difference in schedules between Kentucky and Syracuse means that Syracuse will enter
the tournament ranked #1 in my rankings regardless of what happens today. The chasm between Kentucky and everyone else is so wide, that Kentucky will be ranked #2 overall in my final ranking regardless of whether they win or lose today.

I presently have Vanderbilt as a 6 and a win would push them to a 5. A loss to Kentucky would have no impact on their seeding based on my rankings.

A-10: A St. Bonaventure win reduces the bubble count and kicks out mid-major Oral Roberts.
A Xavier win would push them from a 10 to a 9. A loss would drop them from a 9 to an 11.

Big 10:

I presently have both Ohio State and Michigan State as #2 seeds. The winner would take a #1 seed should UNC fall. My lowest ranked #3 seed is presently Louisville and the gap between the two
Big-10 powers is wide enough that neither should fall below Louisville regardless of what happens today.

Other commentary not addressed above:

Alot of bubble talk swirling around NC State. They lack a top 50 RPI win which is very damaging to their resume. Had they won yesterday, my rankings would have had them in the Next 4 Out group.

I have Drexel safely in, but the way the blogosphere is talking I am in the minority here.

Northwestern: I know alot of people who have been rooting for Northwestern, so I wanted to talk about what would have had to happen for my rankings to get them in. Had Northwestern defeated Minnesota and then gone on to beat Michigan, I would have them in the tournament.