3-4 Rankings

Next week will be the last week I post my rankings, for the purposes of determining how accurate it was at picking the teams that would make the tournament.

I will be doing a 'rankings challenge' over the course of the NCAA Tournament, where I make a bracket based solely on the rankings of my ranking, Ken Pom, my friend Trevor Riley of BPISports.com's rankings and the top 7 correlating rankings of the Massey Comparison where my rankings have been posted all year.

As for this week....

Your last 4 in:


St. Joseph's (PA)
Middle Tennessee State
Northwestern
South Florida (Last in)

Next 4 in:

Xavier (safest)
Arizona
Nevada
California

First 4 out (unless they win their conference tournament):

Illinois (first out)
Miami (FL)
Tennessee
Akron

Next 4 out:

Dayton
Long Beach State
Oregon
Texas

Belmont ranked in this section, but they won their conference tournament so it's a moot point.

Top 4 seed commentary:

One should think that Syracuse and Kentucky should have their #1 seeds locked up - if you think the #1 overall seed matters, in my opinion it's Syracuse's to lose.

Kansas should secure theirs, pending a Big 12 Championship victory. If they falter, the door should open for the winner of the Big 10 Tournament, assuming it's either Ohio State or Michigan State.

Assuming that either Duke or North Carolina wins the ACC Championship, they should secure the other #1 seed. Again - if one of these teams falters, that opens the door for Ohio State/Michigan State.

If the ACC should go to someone other than Duke/UNC AND the Big 10 goes to someone other than Ohio State/Michigan State this would open the door for Missouri, Baylor, Marquette or Michigan, which is an unlikely scenario.

And the rest of the rankings:


1 Syracuse 6.010322581
2 Kentucky 5.848225806
3 Duke 5.236194169
4 Kansas 5.161228288
5 North Carolina 5.072096774
6 Ohio State 4.701854839
7 Michigan State 4.424124424
8 Missouri 4.38483871
9 Baylor 4.368251613
10 Marquette 4.347806452
11 Michigan 4.266960028
12 Temple 4.21075
13 Creighton 3.947203463
14 Georgetown 3.87083296
15 Indiana 3.818774482
16 Wisconsin 3.631949509
17 Murray State 3.402822581
18 Gonzaga 3.402053333
19 Wichita State 3.390272953
20 UNLV 3.25869375
21 San Diego State 3.222395833
22 Vanderbilt 3.017903226
23 Louisville 3.014789834
24 Purdue 2.847195015
25 New Mexico 2.821791667
26 Notre Dame 2.806370968
27 Florida State 2.777071429
28 Memphis 2.762446529
29 Virginia 2.755223485
30 Kansas State 2.750333333
31 Alabama 2.677241667
32 West Virginia 2.663179117
33 Southern Miss 2.632315668
34 Saint Mary's 2.631205955
35 Harvard 2.606951923
36 Florida 2.509134897
37 Saint Louis 2.39584375
38 Cincinnati 2.383284457
39 Connecticut 2.2739375
40 Iowa State 2.222715054
41 Virginia Commonwealth 2.186655649
42 Brigham Young 2.158181818
43 Drexel 2.13053125
44 Colorado State 2.059238657
45 Mississippi State 2.033910138
46 Ole Miss 1.988138889
47 Seton Hall 1.941964115
48 Iona 1.931138393
49 Oral Roberts 1.922953125
50 Xavier 1.861659091
51 Arizona 1.856154762
52 Nevada 1.82176
53 California 1.790447205
54 St. Joseph's (PA) 1.783741511
55 Middle Tennessee State 1.757676667
56 Northwestern 1.722361111
57 South Florida 1.613302207
58 Illinois 1.610460152
59 Miami (FL) 1.57450627
60 Tennessee 1.566095947
61 Akron 1.510852535
62 Belmont 1.488165266
63 Dayton 1.428357257
64 Long Beach State 1.423542614
65 Oregon 1.363514205
66 Texas 1.340670628
67 Washington 1.323238095
68 Ohio 1.317949309
69 Minnesota 1.288064516
70 South Dakota State 1.261325
71 NC State 1.25375
72 Wagner 1.212016129
73 UCF 1.146547619
74 Massachusetts 1.140716667
75 Denver 1.119568966
76 Bucknell 1.118203125
77 Wyoming 1.112033333
78 Lehigh 1.11113125
79 Cleveland State 1.075802557
80 Marshall 1.035972222
81 LSU 1.024944193
82 La Salle 1.019295455
83 Northern Iowa 0.988463436
84 Davidson 0.983447205
85 Weber State 0.981502329
86 George Mason 0.936962891
87 Buffalo 0.935692356
88 Pittsburgh 0.933120968
89 New Mexico State 0.929562953
90 St. Bonaventure 0.922082697
91 Loyola (MD) 0.909905303
92 Montana 0.886716642
93 Robert Morris 0.871960227
94 Iowa 0.808850806
95 Stanford 0.776505898
96 Pennsylvania 0.692900319
97 Colorado 0.672939793
98 Kent State 0.625633333
99 Long Island 0.599782609
100 Texas-Arlington 0.580390269
101 Princeton 0.571960554
102 Valparaiso 0.561402699
103 Maryland 0.519991071
104 TCU 0.519456637
105 Yale 0.503419486
106 Arkansas 0.496583954
107 Duquesne 0.475420387
108 Missouri State 0.472167969
109 Old Dominion 0.466671911
110 Georgia 0.426456845
111 UCLA 0.408486352
112 Providence 0.346008065
113 Rutgers 0.332648753
114 Butler 0.314209034
115 Auburn 0.267966667
116 Richmond 0.237613911
117 Drake 0.237078125
118 Oklahoma 0.20575
119 Illinois State 0.196187646
120 Fairfield 0.133091156
121 Indiana State 0.110571754
122 Loyola Marymount 0.063346774
123 Oklahoma State 0.045952494
124 UC-Santa Barbara 0.004259259
125 Nebraska -0.002046146
126 Detroit -0.030482385
127 UAB -0.052321429
128 Penn State -0.06596562
129 Mississippi Valley State -0.072319444
130 Oregon State -0.079008296
131 North Carolina-Asheville -0.079242424
132 San Francisco -0.085123834
133 Virginia Tech -0.0893
134 Milwaukee -0.10605711
135 American University -0.119122434
136 Stony Brook -0.207196736
137 Manhattan -0.244023438
138 Mercer -0.283278237
139 Villanova -0.300625
140 St. John's -0.301379239
141 Georgia State -0.332780032
142 Tennessee State -0.339625
143 Evansville -0.358548387
144 Savannah State -0.374953917
145 Air Force -0.393317308
146 Cal State Fullerton -0.408051108
147 Boise State -0.440741877
148 Charlotte -0.442378979
149 Clemson -0.456837054
150 Bowling Green -0.484803571
151 Lamar -0.526029326
152 Green Bay -0.5297
153 Tulsa -0.530923077
154 Delaware -0.539527502
155 Vermont -0.561019683
156 Norfolk State -0.617580645
157 USC Upstate -0.659472656
158 DePaul -0.705055556
159 Idaho -0.739756944
160 Texas A&M -0.788953243
161 Utah State -0.792548116
162 Oakland -0.799389062
163 Rice -0.923771347
164 North Florida -0.971381836
165 Cornell -0.980669643
166 College of Charleston -0.987166808
167 Washington State -1.0762
168 Utah Valley University -1.10920088
169 Wake Forest -1.137403092
170 Louisiana -1.16869494
171 Holy Cross -1.175970443
172 South Alabama -1.177177235
173 Louisiana Tech -1.19125
174 Albany -1.22790043
175 Tennessee Tech -1.238447938
176 Portland State -1.270603318
177 Youngstown State -1.301540323
178 Morehead State -1.315492424
179 Boston University -1.344741935
180 Charleston Southern -1.392580645
181 North Texas -1.439902603
182 Quinnipiac -1.458104167
183 East Tennessee State -1.494302657
184 Texas-El Paso -1.507490327
185 Northeastern -1.515968081
186 Florida Gulf Coast -1.577710478
187 Houston -1.628657635
188 South Carolina -1.6725
189 Columbia -1.700266667
190 East Carolina -1.734025862
191 Wofford -1.741816169
192 George Washington -1.749195833
193 Hawaii -1.757333333
194 Georgia Tech -1.761297847
195 Wright State -1.773620319
196 Niagara -1.804396218
197 Western Illinois -1.820112732
198 Texas Southern -1.832607843
199 Fordham -1.871200544
200 Eastern Washington -1.940354839
201 Marist -1.948024554
202 North Dakota State -1.968296146
203 Tulane -1.974833333
204 Cal State Bakersfield -2.00947619
205 Georgia Southern -2.00965
206 Stephen F. Austin -2.012550239
207 Lafayette -2.030010339
208 Texas Tech -2.039477273
209 Central Connecticut State -2.048275862
210 McNeese State -2.048334975
211 Texas-San Antonio -2.09514268
212 Northwestern State -2.102927419
213 Siena -2.166697917
214 Cal Poly -2.187855787
215 Western Michigan -2.210335314
216 Arkansas-Little Rock -2.219066667
217 Arkansas State -2.234942118
218 Boston College -2.254103175
219 North Dakota -2.257110837
220 Eastern Michigan -2.2690553
221 San Diego -2.275762443
222 North Carolina Central -2.282083333
223 St. Francis (NY) -2.286366667
224 Fresno State -2.29309337
225 Rider -2.305251771
226 Elon -2.30775
227 Lipscomb -2.315008271
228 Virginia Military Institute -2.338944964
229 Campbell -2.361346507
230 Delaware State -2.383934066
231 Eastern Kentucky -2.395761719
232 Austin Peay -2.414394531
233 Monmouth -2.454082031
234 Bethune-Cookman -2.49593246
235 Coastal Carolina -2.504155502
236 Southern Methodist -2.512074028
237 North Carolina-Greensboro -2.531788668
238 IUPUI -2.559049479
239 Western Carolina -2.606184269
240 Southern University -2.715820683
241 Ball State -2.776791872
242 Rhode Island -2.846241359
243 Portland -2.857442396
244 Jacksonville State -2.874
245 Furman -2.89096875
246 North Carolina-Wilmington -2.892746544
247 Southern Utah -2.91855935
248 Coppin State -2.933261084
249 Florida Atlantic -2.940647927
250 Southern Illinois -2.98497195
251 Sacred Heart -2.987632068
252 James Madison -2.99796875
253 Miami (OH) -3.021178161
254 Western Kentucky -3.048388889
255 UC Riverside -3.051333333
256 IPFW -3.101274721
257 Southeast Missouri State -3.132212702
258 Toledo -3.296633065
259 Hofstra -3.315869318
260 Arizona State -3.403261494
261 Bradley -3.423060268
262 Prairie View A&M -3.461923963
263 Pepperdine -3.497067151
264 USC -3.62295
265 Central Michigan -3.643483333
266 Appalachian State -3.653970223
267 UC Irvine -3.691511962
268 Stetson -3.700008621
269 Army -3.714597222
270 North Carolina A&T -3.739919355
271 Troy -3.827857143
272 Presbyterian -3.844741379
273 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -3.861419355
274 Alabama State -3.869388889
275 Jacksonville -3.870988636
276 New Jersey Tech -3.891581565
277 High Point -3.899652605
278 Utah -3.908125
279 Sam Houston State -3.952398677
280 Texas-Pan American -4.012111437
281 Northern Colorado -4.056672932
282 Montana State -4.061906694
283 Gardner-Webb -4.06528125
284 Seattle -4.066006993
285 San Jose State -4.067222222
286 Santa Clara -4.105223485
287 Southeastern Louisiana -4.189330629
288 Texas State -4.200234917
289 UIC -4.226863636
290 Pacific -4.317964995
291 Maine -4.336460446
292 Idaho State -4.345904762
293 New Hampshire -4.399839605
294 Winthrop -4.4129375
295 Howard -4.431491379
296 Loyola (Chicago) -4.449225673
297 Eastern Illinois -4.481389452
298 Chattanooga -4.554252232
299 South Dakota -4.631184524
300 Morgan State -4.65316416
301 Liberty -4.671800595
302 Missouri-Kansas City -4.768940092
303 Nicholls State -4.799149728
304 Brown -4.880108696
305 Colgate -4.890424242
306 Mount St. Mary's -4.936009852
307 St. Peter's -4.9491067
308 Florida International -5.007252155
309 Houston Baptist -5.10991833
310 Longwood -5.179032258
311 Samford -5.206872408
312 SIU Edwardsville -5.234793028
313 Hampton -5.2479
314 William & Mary -5.257331731
315 Alcorn State -5.406912442
316 Dartmouth -5.505066667
317 Maryland-Eastern Shore -5.578873712
318 St. Francis (PA) -5.603748126
319 Jackson State -5.667994824
320 Sacramento State -5.721607143
321 Hartford -5.774014778
322 Alabama A&M -5.802724868
323 Central Arkansas -5.82
324 Towson -6.12858871
325 Florida A&M -6.133977273
326 Cal State Northridge -6.150612245
327 Canisius -6.37178
328 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -6.519291667
329 Kennesaw State -6.560950461
330 Citadel -6.931166667
331 Northern Arizona -7.178146552
332 UC Davis -7.21944
333 Louisiana-Monroe -7.240603448
334 Radford -7.3421875
335 South Carolina State -7.361586667
336 Navy -7.390417772
337 Tennessee-Martin -7.416021505
338 Chicago State -7.420673077
339 Bryant -7.611979167
340 Fairleigh Dickinson -7.657725464
341 Northern Illinois -7.666496552
342 Maryland-Baltimore County -7.81550641
343 Grambling State -7.888950893
344 Binghamton -9.446518354