CBB ranks morning of 3-17-13

Top 4 seeds:
Louisville (projected champion)
Indiana
Kansas
Georgetown

2 seeds:
Duke
Florida
Gonzaga
Ohio State

Last 4 in (if  I did the auto bids right):

Middle Tenn State
California
Stephen F Austin
Baylor

Prior 4 in

Boise State
Colorado
NC State
Temple

First 4 out
Iowa
Kentucky
Ole Miss
Maryland

Next 4 out
Southern Miss
Tenn
UMass
Virginia

What's at stake today:

SEC:  These rankings say today is do or die for Ole Miss.  Assuming all favorites win, Florida has the potential to rise to a #1 seed in my rankings; depending on Florida's margin of victory over Ole Miss.

ACC:  I presently have UNC as a #9 seed.  Even if they were to lose today, I would still have them in the tournament, but today is the line between being a favorite in round 1 and being an underdog in round 1 as they would move to the #6/#7 line.  I presently have Miami as a # 3 seed.  A win would push them to the #2 line.

Big Ten:  I have Ohio State as a #2 seed right now but would not move them to a #1 seed if they win.  If they lost and Miami won, this would push Ohio State down to the #3 line as Miami would take their spot.  I have Wisconsin as a #4 seed; a victory over Ohio State would push them to the #2 line if Miami OR Florida lost.

A-10:  I have both of these dangerous mid-majors as a #5 seed and my reward for the winner would be a promotion to a #3 or #4 seed (depending on how things go in the Wisconsin/Ohio State game).

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Louisville	6.61
2	Indiana	5.50
3	Kansas	5.46
4	Georgetown	5.35
5	Duke	5.14
6	Florida	4.97
7	Gonzaga	4.77
8	Ohio State	4.57
9	Miami (FL)	4.53
10	New Mexico	4.35
11	Marquette	4.33
12	Michigan State	4.22
13	Michigan	4.12
14	Syracuse	4.11
15	Wisconsin	4.05
16	Arizona	3.93
17	Saint Louis	3.61
18	Kansas State	3.58
19	Virginia Commonwealth	3.51
20	Butler	3.49
21	Pittsburgh	3.38
22	Creighton	3.30
23	Notre Dame	3.18
24	UNLV	3.06
25	Memphis	3.05
26	Minnesota	2.97
27	San Diego State	2.95
28	Colorado State	2.89
29	Connecticut	2.79
30	Oregon	2.79
31	UCLA	2.75
32	Cincinnati	2.63
33	Missouri	2.59
34	Belmont	2.47
35	Illinois	2.46
36	North Carolina	2.43
37	Saint Mary's	2.41
38	Wichita State	2.41
39	Oklahoma State	2.40
40	Villanova	2.38
41	Oklahoma	2.18
42	La Salle	2.12
43	Boise State	2.11
44	Colorado	2.02
45	NC State	1.98
46	Temple	1.97
47	Middle Tennessee State	1.86
48	California	1.83
49	Stephen F. Austin	1.79
50	Baylor	1.65
51	Iowa	1.63
52	Bucknell	1.48
53	Kentucky	1.47
54	Ole Miss	1.44
55	Maryland	1.43
56	Southern Miss	1.43
57	Tennessee	1.37
58	Massachusetts	1.31
59	Virginia	1.22
60	St. Joseph's (PA)	1.15
61	Akron	1.08
62	Iowa State	1.07
63	Air Force	1.06
64	Denver	1.05
65	Louisiana Tech	1.03
66	Valparaiso	0.97
67	New Mexico State	0.91
68	Stanford	0.90
69	South Dakota State	0.86
70	North Dakota State	0.78
71	Stony Brook	0.77
72	Charlotte	0.73
73	Arizona State	0.71
74	Montana	0.69
75	Davidson	0.61
76	Weber State	0.58
77	Wyoming	0.56
78	Northwestern State	0.56
79	Alabama	0.55
80	Arkansas	0.55
81	Xavier	0.54
82	Ohio	0.49
83	Richmond	0.48
84	Brigham Young	0.41
85	Utah State	0.40
86	Detroit	0.37
87	Dayton	0.32
88	Northern Iowa	0.29
89	Washington	0.24
90	Eastern Kentucky	0.01
91	St. John's	-0.02
92	Purdue	-0.09
93	Indiana State	-0.10
94	Providence	-0.11
95	Texas A&M	-0.14
96	Georgia Tech	-0.15
97	LSU	-0.18
98	USC	-0.25
99	Harvard	-0.28
100	Lehigh	-0.29
101	Southern University	-0.34
102	Vanderbilt	-0.38
103	Evansville	-0.39
104	Texas	-0.41
105	Illinois State	-0.42
106	Albany	-0.43
107	UCF	-0.44
108	Santa Clara	-0.45
109	Seton Hall	-0.49
110	Texas-El Paso	-0.51
111	Mercer	-0.52
112	Rutgers	-0.54
113	Florida Gulf Coast	-0.60
114	Boston College	-0.65
115	Pacific	-0.66
116	South Florida	-0.69
117	Iona	-0.71
118	Loyola (MD)	-0.71
119	Vermont	-0.72
120	North Carolina Central	-0.73
121	George Washington	-0.74
122	Nebraska	-0.76
123	St. Bonaventure	-0.78
124	Georgia	-0.82
125	Florida State	-0.85
126	Canisius	-0.86
127	Washington State	-0.87
128	Oregon State	-0.87
129	Robert Morris	-0.88
130	East Carolina	-0.89
131	Tennessee State	-0.93
132	Western Illinois	-0.95
133	Green Bay	-0.97
134	Texas-Arlington	-0.97
135	Wake Forest	-0.98
136	Fresno State	-0.98
137	Boston University	-1.08
138	Jacksonville State	-1.12
139	Murray State	-1.13
140	Northwestern	-1.16
141	Long Beach State	-1.20
142	Drake	-1.27
143	Houston	-1.27
144	Tulane	-1.27
145	Clemson	-1.32
146	Kent State	-1.32
147	Wright State	-1.34
148	Bradley	-1.36
149	Norfolk State	-1.36
150	Texas Southern	-1.39
151	Penn State	-1.43
152	UAB	-1.44
153	Utah	-1.44
154	Oral Roberts	-1.51
155	West Virginia	-1.53
156	Cal Poly	-1.54
157	Long Island	-1.57
158	Virginia Tech	-1.57
159	Delaware	-1.65
160	Bryant	-1.70
161	Western Kentucky	-1.75
162	Nevada	-1.76
163	Fairfield	-1.76
164	Southern Illinois	-1.78
165	Mount St. Mary's	-1.85
166	Arkansas State	-1.85
167	Charleston Southern	-1.95
168	Elon	-2.02
169	UC Irvine	-2.03
170	College of Charleston	-2.07
171	Oakland	-2.10
172	Wagner	-2.12
173	Niagara	-2.13
174	Western Michigan	-2.14
175	Tulsa	-2.16
176	DePaul	-2.18
177	Florida International	-2.20
178	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-2.20
179	Savannah State	-2.27
180	Rider	-2.35
181	Texas Tech	-2.44
182	George Mason	-2.46
183	San Francisco	-2.50
184	Loyola (Chicago)	-2.52
185	Princeton	-2.53
186	Youngstown State	-2.54
187	Morehead State	-2.57
188	Hartford	-2.59
189	Lafayette	-2.62
190	San Diego	-2.63
191	South Alabama	-2.64
192	Gardner-Webb	-2.64
193	Arkansas-Little Rock	-2.67
194	Toledo	-2.74
195	Idaho	-2.75
196	Southern Methodist	-2.81
197	UIC	-2.82
198	Marshall	-2.83
199	Rhode Island	-2.92
200	Towson	-3.04
201	Southeast Missouri State	-3.11
202	Manhattan	-3.11
203	James Madison	-3.24
204	Fordham	-3.25
205	Sam Houston State	-3.25
206	South Carolina	-3.27
207	North Carolina-Asheville	-3.29
208	North Carolina A&T	-3.31
209	Army	-3.34
210	Eastern Michigan	-3.36
211	Hawaii	-3.36
212	Buffalo	-3.37
213	Cleveland State	-3.52
214	Louisiana	-3.55
215	USC Upstate	-3.70
216	Missouri State	-3.73
217	Mississippi State	-3.77
218	Drexel	-3.81
219	Northeastern	-3.83
220	Southeastern Louisiana	-3.85
221	Pepperdine	-3.88
222	Central Connecticut State	-3.90
223	North Dakota	-3.94
224	Duquesne	-3.98
225	New Jersey Tech	-3.99
226	Cal State Bakersfield	-3.99
227	Auburn	-4.01
228	IPFW	-4.02
229	TCU	-4.02
230	Yale	-4.04
231	Tennessee Tech	-4.14
232	North Florida	-4.14
233	Morgan State	-4.17
234	Stetson	-4.24
235	Florida Atlantic	-4.24
236	Georgia State	-4.31
237	High Point	-4.31
238	UC Davis	-4.31
239	Coastal Carolina	-4.42
240	Appalachian State	-4.43
241	Quinnipiac	-4.44
242	Northern Colorado	-4.49
243	Western Carolina	-4.57
244	Wofford	-4.58
245	Bethune-Cookman	-4.63
246	Brown	-4.66
247	Delaware State	-4.75
248	UC-Santa Barbara	-4.77
249	Bowling Green	-4.80
250	St. Francis (NY)	-4.82
251	Loyola Marymount	-4.87
252	Holy Cross	-4.88
253	Cal State Fullerton	-4.92
254	William & Mary	-5.02
255	Cal State Northridge	-5.02
256	McNeese State	-5.04
257	Cornell	-5.07
258	South Dakota	-5.17
259	New Hampshire	-5.17
260	Central Michigan	-5.19
261	North Texas	-5.20
262	Ball State	-5.21
263	Sacred Heart	-5.24
264	Sacramento State	-5.32
265	Jacksonville	-5.33
266	Texas State	-5.34
267	Winthrop	-5.40
268	Texas-Pan American	-5.42
269	San Jose State	-5.45
270	Jackson State	-5.49
271	Prairie View A&M	-5.56
272	Colgate	-5.59
273	Monmouth	-5.64
274	Maine	-5.74
275	Georgia Southern	-5.79
276	Marist	-5.84
277	Nebraska-Omaha	-5.84
278	Miami (OH)	-5.89
279	Pennsylvania	-5.93
280	Columbia	-6.00
281	Northern Arizona	-6.04
282	Maryland-Baltimore County	-6.05
283	SIU Edwardsville	-6.14
284	Texas-San Antonio	-6.16
285	Lipscomb	-6.19
286	Utah Valley University	-6.20
287	Milwaukee	-6.21
288	Northern Kentucky	-6.22
289	Troy	-6.32
290	American University	-6.32
291	Alabama A&M	-6.32
292	Nicholls State	-6.37
293	Seattle	-6.37
294	Houston Baptist	-6.55
295	Central Arkansas	-6.56
296	Virginia Military Institute	-6.60
297	North Carolina-Wilmington	-6.68
298	St. Peter's	-6.71
299	Radford	-6.76
300	Eastern Illinois	-6.87
301	Liberty	-6.88
302	Chicago State	-6.90
303	Chattanooga	-6.91
304	Samford	-6.92
305	Southern Utah	-6.92
306	Alcorn State	-6.99
307	Siena	-7.05
308	Dartmouth	-7.07
309	Alabama State	-7.13
310	Hampton	-7.16
311	Montana State	-7.16
312	Portland	-7.27
313	Tennessee-Martin	-7.29
314	Missouri-Kansas City	-7.39
315	Florida A&M	-7.52
316	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	-7.54
317	Coppin State	-7.59
318	IUPUI	-7.79
319	Louisiana-Monroe	-7.79
320	Campbell	-7.84
321	Fairleigh Dickinson	-7.85
322	Austin Peay	-7.92
323	Eastern Washington	-8.02
324	St. Francis (PA)	-8.10
325	Portland State	-8.17
326	East Tennessee State	-8.20
327	Hofstra	-8.40
328	Rice	-8.46
329	Navy	-8.56
330	New Orleans	-8.57
331	North Carolina-Greensboro	-8.67
332	Mississippi Valley State	-8.68
333	Citadel	-8.86
334	Presbyterian	-9.14
335	Howard	-9.22
336	Idaho State	-9.39
337	UC Riverside	-9.51
338	South Carolina State	-9.80
339	Longwood	-9.91
340	Northern Illinois	-9.97
341	Furman	-10.50
342	Lamar	-10.62
343	Binghamton	-11.00
344	Old Dominion	-11.14
345	Maryland-Eastern Shore	-11.26
346	Kennesaw State	-11.99
347	Grambling State	-15.05